How Our Predictions Work

Understanding our data sources and prediction methodology

Official JoSAA 2024 Data

Our predictions are built on the official opening and closing ranks from JoSAA 2024 counselling. We use actual seat allocation data from all participating institutes including IITs, NITs, IIITs, and GFTIs.

Data Coverage

  • • All 5 rounds of JoSAA 2024 counselling
  • • Opening and closing ranks for each round
  • • All quota types (AI, HS, OS)
  • • All seat categories (OPEN, EWS, OBC-NCL, SC, ST)
  • • Gender-specific and PwD-specific data

Institute Coverage

  • • 23 IITs (JEE Advanced)
  • • 32 NITs (JEE Main)
  • • 26 IIITs (JEE Main)
  • • 40 GFTIs (JEE Main)
  • • ~900 programs across all institutes

Round-Weighted Confidence Analysis

We analyze all counselling rounds and give higher weight to earlier rounds since they typically have more reliable cutoffs. This provides more accurate predictions than just looking at the final round.

Round Weighting (Default Configuration)

Round 1:40%
Round 2:30%
Round 3:20%
Round 4:8%
Round 5:2%
Earlier rounds get higher weight as they're more predictable

How We Calculate Your Chances

We compare your rank with the weighted closing rank and calculate confidence based on your position:

Safe (70%+ confidence)

Your rank is significantly better than the weighted closing rank, typically with 20% or more buffer.

• Strong chance of admission

• Consider as backup options

• Good for building confidence

Moderate (45-70% confidence)

Your rank is close to the weighted closing rank, within competitive range (5-20% buffer).

• Reasonable chance of admission

• Good target options

• Fill majority of your list with these

Tough (<45% confidence)

Your rank is near or above the weighted closing rank. Admission depends on favorable conditions.

• Lower chance of admission

• Consider as reach options

• Include a few dream colleges

What We Consider

Your Position in Rank Range

Whether you're above opening rank, within the range, or near closing rank affects confidence.

Historical Round Data

We analyze data from all 5 rounds of JoSAA 2024 counselling with appropriate weighting.

Rank Range Size

Narrow rank ranges (highly competitive) get adjusted confidence compared to wider ranges.

Quota and Category

Your specific quota (AI/HS/OS) and seat category (OPEN/EWS/OBC/SC/ST) are considered.

Important Disclaimer

These are predictions based on historical data. Actual cutoffs for 2025 may vary due to several factors:

  • • Number of applicants and their rank distribution
  • • Changes in seat matrix or reservation policies
  • • Difficulty level of JEE Advanced/Main 2025
  • • Introduction of new programs or institutes
  • • Economic and social factors affecting preferences

Always verify information with official JoSAA guidelines and use these predictions as guidance only. We recommend building a balanced preference list with options across all confidence categories.

LetsJEE is an independent counselling assistance tool and is not affiliated with JoSAA or any educational institution.